Geriatric rescue after surgery (GRAS) score to predict failure-to-rescue in geriatric emergency general surgery patients

Muhammad Khan, Asad Azim, Terence OKeeffe, Faisal Jehan, Narong Kulvatunyou, Chelsey Santino, Andrew Tang, Gary Vercruysse, Lynn Gries, Bellal Joseph

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background Geriatric-patients(GP) undergoing emergency-general-surgery(EGS) are vulnerable to develop adverse-outcomes. Impact of patient-level-factors on Failure-to-Rescue(FTR) in EGS-GP remains unclear. Aim of our study was to determine factors associated with FTR(death from major-complication) and devise simple-bedside-score that predicts FTR in EGS-GP. Methods 3-year(2013–15) analysis of patients, age≥65y on acute-care-surgery-service and underwent EGS. Regression analysis used to analyze factors associated with FTR and natural-logarithm of significant odds-ratio used to calculate estimated-weights for each factor. Geriatric-Rescue-After-Surgery(GRAS)-score calculated for each-patient. AUROC used to assess model discrimination. Results 725 EGS-patients analyzed. 44.6%(n = 324) had major-complications. The FTR-rate was 11.5%. Overall-mortality rate was 15.3%. On regression, significant-factors with their estimated-weights were:Age≥80y(2), Chronic-Obstructive-Pulmonary-Disease(COPD)(1), Chronic-renal-failure(CRF)(2), Congestive-heart-failure(CHF)(1), Albumin<3.5(1) and ASA score>3(2). AUROC of score was 0.787. Conclusion GRAS-score is first score based on preoperative assessment that can reliably predict FTR in EGS-GP. Preoperative identification of patients at increased-risk of FTR can help in risk-stratification and timely-mobilization of resources for successful rescue of these patients.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)53-57
Number of pages5
JournalAmerican Journal of Surgery
Volume215
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2018
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Emergency general surgery
  • Failure to rescue
  • Geriatric surgery

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Surgery

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Geriatric rescue after surgery (GRAS) score to predict failure-to-rescue in geriatric emergency general surgery patients'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Khan, M., Azim, A., OKeeffe, T., Jehan, F., Kulvatunyou, N., Santino, C., Tang, A., Vercruysse, G., Gries, L., & Joseph, B. (2018). Geriatric rescue after surgery (GRAS) score to predict failure-to-rescue in geriatric emergency general surgery patients. American Journal of Surgery, 215(1), 53-57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjsurg.2017.08.002